commercial underwriting decision factors

Design Highlights

  • Increased competition in the market is leading to double-digit rate reductions for clean accounts in large commercial risks.
  • Climate change is significantly influencing underwriting decisions, with geography assessed for risks like flooding and wildfires.
  • The commercial auto insurance sector faces persistent underwriting losses, prompting a shift towards predictive analytics for smarter underwriting.
  • Rising casualty rates and liability concerns are driving general liability rates up by 5-10%, with insurers maintaining heightened scrutiny.
  • The evolution of cyber insurance reflects escalating demands and challenges from emerging threats, complicating underwriting processes for carriers.

The landscape of commercial underwriting is changing, and not just a little—it’s like a teenager who suddenly discovered their sense of style. Gone are the days of stiff collars and boring suits; now it’s all about double-digit rate reductions for clean accounts in large commercial risks. The competition is fierce, and there’s plenty of capacity out there, which means reinsurance renewals are looking pretty favorable. Buyers with solid data and proactive risk management are in for a treat too, as they’re seeing broader coverage and flexible terms.

Commercial underwriting is undergoing a makeover—think double-digit rate cuts and flexible terms for savvy buyers ready to play the game!

But let’s not kid ourselves. There’s a bifurcated market where distressed risks face intense examination.

Climate change is making waves in underwriting decisions. Advanced risk modeling tools are now the norm, evaluating geography impacts from flooding, wind, hail, and wildfires. Take Florida, for instance. Rapid shifts in property coverage are making it harder to get a decent deal. Industries with volatile costs are feeling the heat from stricter underwriting standards, especially when it comes to secondary perils like those pesky severe convective storms. Southern California wildfires? Yeah, they’ve got insurance carriers sweating bullets. Favorable reinsurance renewals are allowing for broader coverage and flexible terms, which is a significant advantage for many buyers. Additionally, insurers are increasingly conducting climate-driven underwriting to better assess risks associated with changing environmental conditions. With flood insurance requiring a separate policy and typically a 30-day waiting period before coverage starts, property owners need to plan ahead for comprehensive protection.

Then there’s commercial auto, which has been on a losing streak for 13 years. That’s right—13 straight years of underwriting losses with combined ratios above 100%. Rate increases have been relentless and utterly ineffective in restoring profitability. Claim severity is skyrocketing, up a whopping 64% since 2015, thanks to social inflation and those ridiculous nuclear verdicts. Predictive analytics and smarter underwriting are stepping in, but who knows if they’ll actually steer this ship back to safety?

Casualty rates are also on the rise, with general liability rates creeping up 5-10%. And let’s not forget premises liability, tackling issues like assault, battery, and even human trafficking. Umbrella and excess liability rates are climbing too, thanks to reduced capacity and higher attachments. Insurers are on high alert, and real estate accounts are under the microscope.

Cyber insurance is evolving, with tech demands cranking up to 11. It’s no longer optional; cyber threats are targeting everyone, from corner stores to Fortune 500 companies. The world of AI poses new challenges, like phishing and social engineering, while carriers scramble to keep up with the changes. The future of underwriting is anything but predictable, and it looks like everyone is in for a wild ride.

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